my rapidly and ever changing portfolio

my personal holdings are:


50% ETFs that hold USA treasury bonds:
SHY (2/5s)
IEI (1/5)
IEF (1/5)
TLH (1/5)
stop loss orders set for about 20%

two high yield dividend payors ( my selection had nothing to do with sector or industry):
NGLS( 2% position)
PSE( 2% position)
stop loss orders set for about 20%

one "capital gain stock":
LO( 2% position)
stop loss orders set for about 10%

one bottom fish:
PCBC( 2% position)
stop loss orders set for about 10%

one "trader":
HEB( 1% position)
stop loss orders set for about 10%

one S&P 2* ETF( 7% position, long or short)
stop loss orders set for about 10%

Cash USA Dollars( 30% - 35%)
USA Dollar in cash is king!!! !! !


Right now, I'm considering cutting PCBC to a 1% position. I'm considerin selling LO, a buyout candidate, and replacing with CALM or OPTV to hold long term.

After these wo changes, I'll play it all by "ear" following my trading rules.

Fun Trading!!!

Posted via email from fortypercent's posterous

Posterous | Re: now is a time to get long in stocks that pay

getting better at posting, pictures, etc. lookout ya'll

Posted via email from fortypercent's posterous

now is a time to get long in stocks that pay

The market is getting choppy and that makes it difficult to pick big short-term movers. This is when i'm going to get into positions that are stable and pay their owners to wait for gains.

I'm liking ABT - Abott Labs is only 6.5% above its 52 week low. So this is bottom fishing!! Lots of upside potential. I believe as much as 30% upside within a year. While one waits ABT will be paying a 3.6% dividend! Even after the stock market melt down of the past 12 months this remains a 60 billion dollar capitali$t monster!! Its quick ratio of 1.26 and payout ratio less than 50% means one will be safe reinvesting those dividends to compound the wealth! My target on ABT is $54.00 . While ABT is trading near a low now is the time to consider buying and holding!





Another to think about buying, reinvesting the dividend and holding is DBD - Diebold. These guys pay a 4.2% dividend and have a payout ratio of 65%. Their quick ratio of 1.4 means their finances are pretty safe. Think about it their vaults and safes and secure doors and ATM machines are everywhere. My target on DBD is $33.00 .





CALM is another great dividend payor. Cal-Maine Foods is the largest egg company in the US and one of the largest on the planet! They are paying 7.2% dividend. Reinvest this one for sure, reinvest!! Payout ratio is only 2.5% and quick ratio is 1.2. Those numbers mean rock solid financial safety! CALM has been moving sideways after falling. We are now at a great price for entry. My target for CALM is $32.00 .




When the market is getting Toppy it is hard to bottom fish too much or find rocket ship stocks, yet the bias is still long. These are the times to get paid some quality dividends.

Thats fun trading!!

 

 

Posted via email from fortypercent's posterous

Rally or Pullback ?? just choppy

We are still trending up as best I can tell. However, market is trading like its getting tired and needs to correct.

I like to keep an eye on the nasdaq bullish percent. As long as we see this indicator above 50 the overall trading bias is upward.



The Wilshire 5000 is a whole market index containing far more than 6000 symbols. I also use the weekly chart of the wilshire to gage market direction.The weekly 5000 is moving up.





so my bias in trading remains long!!

Posted via email from fortypercent's posterous

the market hovers

monday 05182009

the market hovers so we have to trade

in and out
out and in
long and short
short and long

take a look at the nasdaq bullish pecent and the weekly wilshire both bullish, but both suggesting that the upwards price action
is slowing.







with the bullish% and wilshire where they are i say either step aside or trade brilliantly long.
we could fall, bullish% or rise to resistance or even break-out through resistance, wilshire.

today 05182009 i was very smart with two long 1% positions:

i sold, closed gnw up 10.5% since 05142009

i sold, closed ahr up 10.5% since 05182009( a day trade)



remember, don't look back, ca$h is the king!!

my screen showed me ahr early in am. i quivered getting long. i could have just bought at $0.93,but hesitated.
after 2 hours of watching and salivating at the possibilities i placed an order at $1.15. when my order filled i said to myself, "today is a very good day!!!"
 

Posted via email from fortypercent's posterous

Trading and the eye of the tiger

my 1% position in GNW is going pretty well. closed up about 6%.

not bad.

 

however, as i watched GNW traded up almost 11% above my entry. in just an hour that beat the return of one of my dividend payors that i've held for over 3 months! whoa, 3 months return in only a few minutes! my finger trembled! i wanted to sell GNW and realize my profit. 

 

couldn't do it. i held GNW and it moved down from there. six percent in a day is nothing to be sad about, but still 11% in hand would have been even better. with the market getting top heavy all new postions are for trading.

 

the market is always completely impersonal and cold. trade for yourself ruthlessly.

see each trade through the eye of the tiger

Posted via email from fortypercent's posterous

GNW!!!

market bouncing, but still there is resistance to be met at the 200 day average. be careful.

 

can't post a pix now, but i took a 1% long position in GNW. placed the order at the 200 period average on the 5 minute chart. one hour later this one is already up 5%.

that is great action, but also means traders are all around. charts suggest momentum could carry this to about $7.

 

again, be careful!

Posted via email from fortypercent's posterous